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Small Alaskan bank not a good pick for the long term

By: Malcolm Berko//September 25, 2013//

Small Alaskan bank not a good pick for the long term

Malcolm Berko//September 25, 2013//

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Malcolm Berko
Malcolm

Dear Mr. Berko: Because you recommended Capstone Turbine when it was trading at 90 cents, I bought 10,000 shares in January at 88 cents. You said it was very speculative, and you were very honest in your recommendation by saying the only reason it was selling for 90 cents was the smart professionals in the investment community didn’t think it was worth more than 90 cents. The stock went up to $1.52 in July, but now it’s crashed to $1.07. Should I buy more or sell and take my profit? And what do you think of First National Bank Alaska as a long-term investment? It trades at $1,751 a share and may split 100-for-1. At the split price, I could buy 600 shares if you recommended the stock.

G.N.

Moline, Ill.

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Dear G.N.: I did not recommend Capstone Turbine (CPST-$1.15), but rather discussed and complimented its product, which I still believe is an amazing low-maintenance, easy-to-install, low-cost, cutting-edge technology that produces impressive and highly efficient results. I told a reader that if he could afford to risk $5,000, then Capstone might be a good speculation. And apparently, it was. The revenues of this California company have grown tenfold in the past 10 years. However, its grossly incapacious management team seems to have a systemic allergy to profit. And those reasons are namely Darren Jamison, Eddie Reich, J.L. Brooks, Jim Crouse and M.G. Gilbert. These are the Five Stooges, and they run Capstone and are responsible for its $400 million of cumulative losses since 2004. These serial losers couldn’t manage a two-car funeral on a deserted one-way street in broad daylight.

There are six analysts following this microturbine technology company, and not one expects Capstone to report a profit this year or next. So it’s no wonder that in June, CEO Jamison, CFO Reich and marketing VP Crouse cumulatively sold more than 1.3 million shares. Capstone has, inarguably, an impressive product. Its low-emission turbines produce clean, green and affordable heat and cooling power at significant savings over traditional sources. Revenues are expected to increase again next year, but profits are unlikely. Capstone needs an industrial-size enema, and it doesn’t have much of a future as long as the Five Stooges remain in control. But hold the stock, because there could be another 25-cent increase in the price, and on 10,000 shares that would be $2,500.

Alaska is a big piece of ground that’s been around for a long time. But who needs all that land and ice and snow? Frankly, Alaska ruins the beautiful symmetry of the continental United States. It just darn ruins it! And who needs First National Bank Alaska (FBAK-$1,752)? This is a tiny bank headquartered in Anchorage, with 323,021 shares outstanding and $145 million in revenues. Its chief executive officer and chairman is 93-year-old D.H. Cuddy, who has been CEO since 1951 and also is a close friend of Sarah Palin. Last year, First National earned $118 a share, and rumor suggests that it could earn a tad more this year. I say rumor because there’s neither an analyst nor brokerage I know that follows this stock. Wright Investors’ Service has a 37-page report, but that research piece will set me back $450, and I don’t care enough about First National to spend that kind of money. The $100 dividend yields 2.8 percent, and the shares trade either a few hundred shares a month or by appointment.

First National has 30 branches, including 12 in Anchorage. The others are in towns such as Seward, Palmer, Kodiak, Wasilla, Valdez, Juneau, Homer and Healy. There’s little to no growth in this issue, and from my perspective, the shares are not even worth thinking about. The dividend has remained at $50 since 2003, when revenues were $127 million, earnings were $129 a share and the stock traded at $2,300. And to the best of my knowledge, there’s no possibility of a stock split before Oct. 7, 2020.

Address your financial questions to Malcolm Berko, c/o The Daily Journal of Commerce, P.O. Box 8303, Largo, FL 33775, or email him at [email protected]. © 2013 Creators.com



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