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OP-ED: Banking on optimism about Germany’s economy

By: Malcolm Berko//March 20, 2014//

OP-ED: Banking on optimism about Germany’s economy

Malcolm Berko//March 20, 2014//

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Malcolm Berko
Malcolm

Dear Mr. Berko: Because Germany has the strongest economy in Europe, I figured it would be a good idea to invest in some German stocks in anticipation of an economic recovery in Europe. I was going to invest $20,000 or $25,000 in German companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange, such as SAP, Fresenius, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Telekom and Daimler. But my broker suggested db X-trackers MSCI Germany Hedged Equity Fund. I can’t find this exchange-traded fund in Value Line, Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s Investors Service. The ticker symbol is DBGR. What do you think of this and other ETFs? Please tell me what MSCI means and whether this is a good stock for a conservative investor. I might invest in it, but I’d rather own individual stocks than a fund.

H.R.

Kankakee, Ill.

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Dear H.R.: MSCI, one of the most common symbols in the ETF landscape, is an abbreviation for Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI-$46.27). Morgan Stanley (MS-$31.44), the huge financial holding company, is the majority shareholder of MSCI. And MSCI is the vehicle that gave birth to a disparate and confusing agglomeration of 2,701 ETFs (most should be aborted) sold to thousands of shareholders. Last year, MSCI, with the help of its 3,100 employees, drained $1.03 billion in management revenues from its warren of ETFs. MSCI earns revenues by designing and marketing a superfluity of constantly new ETF products for credulous investors. The funds are taken public by Morgan Stanley and its various selling groups. MSCI then earns hundreds of millions in sweet fees managing the portfolios of those 2,701 ETF investments for thousands of shareholders, plus there are additional fees for facilitating proxy and voting schemes for these and similar ETFs. The Street believes that MSCI will increase its 2014 revenues by 6 percent, to $1.1 billion, and increase its share income by 7 percent, to $2.39. MSCI is one of Morgan Stanley’s 24-karat golden eggs.

I decided to page through the codex of MSCI’s 2,701 funds, and was so bewildered by the dizzying smorgasbord of choices that my eyes began to cross. For instance, it has 107 Japan ETFs, 203 ETFs for Deutsche Bank exchange trackers, 197 U.S. ETFs and 248 emerging-market ETFs. However, MSCI isn’t alone in this golden egg farce. Vanguard runs 1,908 ETFs; BlackRock manages 1,285; Fidelity covets 2,396; Invesco embraces 1,309; and Pimco sings the praises of 1,385. The majority of these ETFs are trading vehicles (quick in and out) rather than growth and income investments for long-term portfolios. The list is as endless as the twits who peddle ’em. And most of this detritus is carrion for executive bonuses as billions of dollars in management fees and expenses flow to Wall Street’s bottom line. Most of the approximately 12,000 ETFs vying for your attention like shiny cars in dealers’ lots are redundant and fatuous. I’m guessing that among this huge universe of ETFs, between 1,200 and 1,700 have redeeming value. And the db X-trackers MSCI Germany Hedged Equity Fund (DBGR-$24.77), recommended by your broker, may be one of them.

There’s a cornucopia of ETFs, closed-end funds, open-end funds, load funds and no-load funds that specialize in Germany. However, it appears that your broker has (wittingly) given you good advice, providing you plan to be a long-term investor. And frankly, money managers who are good enough to effectively manage ETF portfolios are a very rare breed. DBGR (a June 2011 issue) owns a portfolio of 55 German equities, and management uses simple hedging techniques that reduce your exposure to fluctuations between the U.S. dollar and the euro. DBGR’s small, $21 million portfolio owns iconic companies such as Bayer, Siemens, BASF, Daimler, Allianz, SAP, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Telekom, Volkswagen Group and Munich Re Group. DBGR pays an 85-cent dividend yielding 3.3 percent. The European economy is on the mend. This broker knows what he’s doing, so take his advice.

Address your financial questions to Malcolm Berko, c/o The Daily Journal of Commerce, P.O. Box 8303, Largo, FL 33775, or email him at [email protected]. © 2014 Creators.com



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