Hilary Dorsey//December 13, 2023//
The Portland City Council on Wednesday adopted new supporting documents related to the Housing Needs Analysis and for the to address future housing needs, access to affordable housing, and development capacity.
An Oregon statewide planning goal requires cities with more than 10,000 residents to provide inventory of buildable lands and ensure there is enough zoned land to accommodate housing needs over the next 20 years. Metro cities are mandated to develop and update the analysis every six years.
Portland鈥檚 Comprehensive Plan, adopted in 2016, provides information on how the city can accommodate future growth and development.
The 2045 Housing Needs Analysis and the 2023 Residential Buildable Lands Inventory provide information on the future housing need in Portland to 2045. These reports set the stage for future policy decisions that can influence housing development, including opportunities to increase access to affordable housing. For instance, the Housing Production Strategy will go before the City Council in summer 2024.
鈥淭he Housing Needs Analysis and the Buildable Land Inventory provide baseline information about current housing conditions, future needs and where we have the opportunity grow,鈥 Commissioner Carmen Rubio said during a City Council meeting last week.
The 2045 Housing Forecast shows the region is still planning for growth, Bureau of Planning and Sustainability supervising planner Tom Armstrong said.
The 2045 distributed forecast of population, households, and employment, adopted by the Metro Council, establishes that Portland is expected to gain 97,471 households by 2045. After factoring in vacancy rates and second home replacements, Portland鈥檚 needed housing is 106,571 additional units by 2045, the city鈥檚 ordinance states. The Housing Needs Analysis adapts the draft Oregon Housing Needs Analysis methodology to further factor in historic underproduction and housing for houseless households to arrive at 120,560 total additional housing units by 2045, with a production target of 5,242 each year.
The Residential Buildable Lands Inventory estimates that Portland has capacity for 236,977 additional housing units. Ninety percent of the city鈥檚 growth capacity is from multi-dwelling housing types, Armstrong said.